Which business decisions need more care before you commit?
A small initial commitment can create lasting obligations. Map the exit before treating a decision as easy to reverse.
The journal
Articles
Essays on judgment, influence, and what happens when the stakes get personal.
How to tell whether executive confidence exceeds the evidence
Compare executive confidence with resolved forecasts rather than the force of a presentation.
Was it a bad decision, or a reasonable bet that failed?
Evaluate a failed decision by reconstructing the information, alternatives, and reasoning available when the commitment was made.
How to compare priorities when every initiative looks essential
Choose priorities by identifying the best feasible alternative that each commitment displaces.
How to use a dissenting view without letting one person stall you
Preserve contrary evidence while keeping the decision owner and deadline explicit.
How to tell when fear of loss is distorting a business choice
Check whether the description changes the choice before calling reluctance a bias.
How to review a failure without pretending it was obvious
Review a failure using the information and options available before the outcome became known. Separate later discoveries from evidence the team could reaso...
When one impressive result distorts your view of a leader
Keep a standout result in the record without letting it answer every leadership question.
How to keep groupthink out of executive decision meetings
Collect independent recommendations before discussion, then give challenge a defined task and a decision deadline.